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Os futuros do min\u00e9rio de ferro chegaram a subir mais de 10%, e o cobre avan\u00e7ou para um recorde, na abertura da semana nesta segunda-feira, 10, em meio \u00e0s crescentes apostas de que essas mat\u00e9rias-primas estar\u00e3o entre as com melhor desempenho no boom de commodities, que tamb\u00e9m gera temores de infla\u00e7\u00e3o ao redor do mundo.<\/p>\n
Embora n\u00e3o esteja claro o principal fator para os ganhos de min\u00e9rio de ferro nesta segunda-feira, investidores citaram v\u00e1rias tend\u00eancias, como o otimismo de que bancos centrais v\u00e3o manter as pol\u00edticas de apoio mesmo com a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o da economia global.<\/p>\n
Expectativas de que a China adote regras ambientais mais r\u00edgidas refor\u00e7aram a aposta no cobre — visto como vital para a transi\u00e7\u00e3o da energia verde — e especula\u00e7\u00f5es de que as sider\u00fargicas podem antecipar compras de min\u00e9rio de ferro antes que novas restri\u00e7\u00f5es entrem em vigor.<\/p>\n
Os ganhos chegam na esteira de um rali de mais de um ano dos pre\u00e7os das mat\u00e9rias-primas. O \u00edndice Bloomberg Commodity Spot subiu em 14 dos \u00faltimos 15 dias, para o n\u00edvel mais alto em quase uma d\u00e9cada.<\/p>\n
Segundo analistas de commodities do Goldman Sachs, um \u201ccen\u00e1rio Cachinhos Dourados\u201d pode estar se formando, com crescimento global mais forte combinado com press\u00f5es salariais contidas e uma pol\u00edtica frouxa do Federal Reserve, segundo relat\u00f3rio da \u00faltima sexta, 7 de maio.<\/p>\n
Nesse dia, os fracos n\u00fameros do mercado de trabalho nos Estados Unidos em abril refor\u00e7aram a tese de mais est\u00edmulos. O risco para investidores posicionados para mais ganhos — e para qualquer um que aposte em retornos exuberantes de a\u00e7\u00f5es e t\u00edtulos — \u00e9 que a valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o das mat\u00e9rias-primas contamine indicadores mais amplos de infla\u00e7\u00e3o e, no futuro, obrigue bancos centrais a apertarem a pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria. Ou seja, que sejam obrigados a subir os juros.<\/p>\n
O setor de min\u00e9rio de ferro \u201cest\u00e1 muito, muito quente\u201d, disse Vivek Dhar, analista de commodities do Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), em entrevista \u00e0 Bloomberg Television. \u201cA oferta ainda n\u00e3o \u00e9 capaz de atender a essa forte demanda.\u201d<\/p>\n
Os contratos futuros de min\u00e9rio de ferro em Cingapura atingiram recorde, acima de 226 d\u00f3lares a tonelada, ampliando a alta deste ano para cerca de 40%. Os contratos em Dalian avan\u00e7aram para o limite di\u00e1rio quando o mercado foi aberto.<\/p>\n
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