[et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ admin_label=”section” _builder_version=”3.22″ transparent_background=”off” make_fullwidth=”off” use_custom_width=”off” width_unit=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_row admin_label=”row” _builder_version=”3.25″ background_size=”initial” background_position=”top_left” background_repeat=”repeat” make_fullwidth=”off” use_custom_width=”off” width_unit=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”3.25″ custom_padding=”|||” global_colors_info=”{}” custom_padding__hover=”|||” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_text admin_label=”Texto” _builder_version=”4.13.0″ background_size=”initial” background_position=”top_left” background_repeat=”repeat” hover_enabled=”0″ use_border_color=”off” border_color=”#ffffff” border_style=”solid” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content” sticky_enabled=”0″]<\/p>\n
S\u00c3O PAULO (Reuters) – A equipe de macroeconomia do Santander Brasil (SA:SANB11) revisou proje\u00e7\u00f5es para a economia brasileira e agora espera expans\u00e3o de 1% para o Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) em 2022, de crescimento de 1,5% anteriormente, enquanto a Selic deve terminar o pr\u00f3ximo ano em 11,5%, de estimativa anterior de 9%.<\/p>\n
Ana Paula Vescovi e equipe destacaram que houve importantes sinais de mudan\u00e7as na pol\u00edtica fiscal, principalmente no arcabou\u00e7o legal do teto de gastos, que tem sido a principal \u00e2ncora fiscal nos \u00faltimos anos, e chamaram a aten\u00e7\u00e3o para o elevado grau de incerteza sobre os rumos da pol\u00edtica econ\u00f4mica.<\/p>\n
Para 2021, o Santander Brasil manteve a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de alta de 4,9% do PIB, mas para 2023 cortou a previs\u00e3o de crescimento de 0,8% para estabilidade. No caso da Selic, mudou de 8,25% para 9,25% a taxa esperada para o final deste ano e de 7% para 9% no fim de 2023.<\/p>\n
Em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao IPCA, o banco agora calcula altas de 9,6%, 5,2% e 3,5% em 2021, 2022 e 2023, de previs\u00e3o anterior de 9%, 4,7% e 3,3%. Para a taxa de c\u00e2mbio, prev\u00ea o d\u00f3lar a 5,50 reais neste ano (de estimativa anterior de 5,35 reais), passando a 5,70 reais no pr\u00f3ximo (de 5,55 reais). Para 2023, manteve em 5,20 reis.<\/p>\n
A PEC dos Precat\u00f3rios, aprovada em primeiro turno no plen\u00e1rio da C\u00e2mara dos Deputados nesta semana, “surpreendeu claramente os mercados (n\u00f3s inclusive), tanto em termos do montante de despesas adicionais propostas, mas tamb\u00e9m em termos do ‘ve\u00edculo legal’ utilizado para afrouxar a restri\u00e7\u00e3o or\u00e7ament\u00e1ria em 2022”.<\/p>\n
A equipe do banco ponderou que as mudan\u00e7as ainda precisam ser aprovadas em outras etapas no Congresso Nacional, mas que a discuss\u00e3o j\u00e1 teve impacto sobre as condi\u00e7\u00f5es de mercado – com forte aumento da volatilidade nos pre\u00e7os de ativos brasileiros – e resultou em expectativas econ\u00f4micas menos otimistas.<\/p>\n
Os economistas do Santander Brasil tamb\u00e9m estimam que a d\u00edvida bruta do governo ficar\u00e1 em 81,2% do PIB em 2021, subindo para 87,5% em 2022 e para 94,6% em 2023. Os percentuais projetados anteriormente eram 80,7%, 83,8% e 87,8%.<\/p>\n
A d\u00edvida l\u00edquida, calculam, deve ficar em 58,7% do PIB neste ano, 62,6% no pr\u00f3ximo ano e 67,8% no seguinte, ante estimativa anterior de 58%, 60,5% e 64,1%. O resultado prim\u00e1rio do setor p\u00fablico deve ficar em -0,3% em 2021, passando a -1,7% em 2022 e -1,3% em 2023, calculam, de -0,5%, -1,3% e -1,1% anteriormente.<\/p>\n
(Por Paula Arend Laier)<\/p>\n
[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_post_nav in_same_term=”on” show_next=”off” admin_label=”Navega\u00e7\u00e3o da postagem” _builder_version=”3.0.87″ use_border_color=”off” border_color=”#ffffff” border_style=”solid” hide_prev=”off” hide_next=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”] [\/et_pb_post_nav][et_pb_post_nav in_same_term=”on” show_prev=”off” admin_label=”Navega\u00e7\u00e3o da postagem” _builder_version=”3.0.87″ use_border_color=”off” border_color=”#ffffff” border_style=”solid” hide_prev=”on” hide_next=”off” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”] [\/et_pb_post_nav][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row admin_label=”Linha” _builder_version=”3.25″ background_size=”initial” background_position=”top_left” background_repeat=”repeat” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”3.25″ custom_padding=”|||” global_colors_info=”{}” custom_padding__hover=”|||” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_text admin_label=”Texto” _builder_version=”3.27.4″ background_size=”initial” background_position=”top_left” background_repeat=”repeat” use_border_color=”off” border_color=”#ffffff” border_style=”solid” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n
[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row admin_label=”Linha” _builder_version=”3.25″ background_size=”initial” background_position=”top_left” background_repeat=”repeat” make_fullwidth=”off” use_custom_width=”off” width_unit=”on” global_colors_info=”{}” column_structure=”1_3,1_3,1_3″ theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_column type=”1_3″ _builder_version=”3.25″ custom_padding=”|||” global_colors_info=”{}” custom_padding__hover=”|||” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_button button_url=”https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/cambio\/” button_text=”C\u00e2mbio” button_alignment=”center” admin_label=”C\u00e2mbio” _builder_version=”3.16″ custom_button=”on” button_text_size=”14″ button_letter_spacing_hover=”0″ global_colors_info=”{}” button_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”on” button_letter_spacing__hover=”0″ button_one_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”off” button_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” theme_builder_area=”post_content”] [\/et_pb_button][et_pb_button button_url=”https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/fundos-de-investimento-amaril-franklin\/” button_text=”Fundos de Investimentos” button_alignment=”center” admin_label=”Fundos de Investimentos” _builder_version=”3.16″ custom_button=”on” button_text_size=”14″ button_letter_spacing_hover=”0″ global_colors_info=”{}” button_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”on” button_letter_spacing__hover=”0″ button_one_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”off” button_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” theme_builder_area=”post_content”] [\/et_pb_button][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=”1_3″ _builder_version=”3.25″ custom_padding=”|||” global_colors_info=”{}” custom_padding__hover=”|||” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_button button_url=”https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/renda-fixa\/” button_text=”Renda Fixa” button_alignment=”center” admin_label=”Renda Fixa” _builder_version=”3.16″ custom_button=”on” button_text_size=”14″ button_letter_spacing_hover=”0″ global_colors_info=”{}” button_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”on” button_letter_spacing__hover=”0″ button_one_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”off” button_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” theme_builder_area=”post_content”] [\/et_pb_button][et_pb_button button_url=”https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/clube-de-investimento\/” button_text=”Clube de Investimento” button_alignment=”center” admin_label=”Clube de Investimento” _builder_version=”3.16″ custom_button=”on” button_text_size=”14″ button_letter_spacing_hover=”0″ global_colors_info=”{}” button_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”on” button_letter_spacing__hover=”0″ button_one_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”off” button_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” theme_builder_area=”post_content”] [\/et_pb_button][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=”1_3″ _builder_version=”3.25″ custom_padding=”|||” global_colors_info=”{}” custom_padding__hover=”|||” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_button button_url=”https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/mercado-de-acoes\/” button_text=”Mercado de A\u00e7\u00f5es” button_alignment=”center” admin_label=”Mercado de A\u00e7\u00f5es” _builder_version=”3.16″ custom_button=”on” button_text_size=”14″ button_letter_spacing_hover=”0″ global_colors_info=”{}” button_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”on” button_letter_spacing__hover=”0″ button_one_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”off” button_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” theme_builder_area=”post_content”] [\/et_pb_button][et_pb_button button_url=”https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/opa-fechamento-de-capital\/” button_text=”Fechamento de Capital – OPA” button_alignment=”center” admin_label=”Fechamento de Capital – OPA” _builder_version=”3.16″ custom_button=”on” button_text_size=”14″ button_letter_spacing_hover=”0″ global_colors_info=”{}” button_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_text_size__hover_enabled=”off” button_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_text_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_width__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_border_radius__hover_enabled=”off” button_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”on” button_letter_spacing__hover=”0″ button_one_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_letter_spacing__hover_enabled=”off” button_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_one_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” button_two_bg_color__hover_enabled=”off” theme_builder_area=”post_content”] [\/et_pb_button][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
S\u00c3O PAULO (Reuters) – A equipe de macroeconomia do Santander Brasil (SA:SANB11) revisou proje\u00e7\u00f5es para a economia brasileira e agora espera expans\u00e3o de 1% para o Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) em 2022, de crescimento de 1,5% anteriormente, enquanto a Selic deve terminar o pr\u00f3ximo ano em 11,5%, de estimativa anterior de 9%. Ana Paula Vescovi […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31760","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-noticias"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31760","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31760"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31760\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31760"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31760"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31760"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}