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Por Bernardo Caram<\/p>\n
BRAS\u00cdLIA (Reuters) – O Banco Central piorou sua proje\u00e7\u00e3o de crescimento econ\u00f4mico brasileiro em 2022 para 1,0%, contra 2,1% da estimativa anterior, conforme o Relat\u00f3rio Trimestral de Infla\u00e7\u00e3o (RTI) divulgado nesta quinta-feira.<\/p>\n
No documento, o BC ajustou a perspectiva de expans\u00e3o para o Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) para uma alta de 4,4% neste ano, ante estimativa de 4,7% calculada em setembro.<\/p>\n
O Minist\u00e9rio da Economia, por sua vez, prev\u00ea expans\u00e3o de 5,1% para o PIB neste ano e de 2,1% para o pr\u00f3ximo, enquanto o mercado, segundo o boletim Focus mais recente, estima que a economia crescer\u00e1 4,65% em 2021 e 0,50% no ano que vem.<\/p>\n
“Surpresas negativas em dados recentemente divulgados –que sugerem perda de dinamismo da atividade e reduzem o carregamento estat\u00edstico para o ano seguinte–, novas eleva\u00e7\u00f5es da infla\u00e7\u00e3o, parcialmente associadas a choques de oferta, e aumento no risco fiscal pioram os progn\u00f3sticos para a evolu\u00e7\u00e3o da atividade econ\u00f4mica no pr\u00f3ximo ano”, disse a autoridade monet\u00e1ria.<\/p>\n
O Bacen voltou a afirmar que questionamentos em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao arcabou\u00e7o fiscal do pa\u00eds se traduzem em eleva\u00e7\u00e3o de pr\u00eamios de risco, impactando condi\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras atuais e a atividade econ\u00f4mica futura.<\/p>\n
Outro fator que se soma ao quadro mais desfavor\u00e1vel, segundo o BC, \u00e9 a perspectiva de que limita\u00e7\u00f5es na disponibilidade de insumos em determinadas cadeias produtivas perdurem por mais tempo.<\/p>\n
INFLA\u00c7\u00c3O<\/p>\n
No relat\u00f3rio, a autoridade monet\u00e1ria aponta que a probabilidade de a infla\u00e7\u00e3o ultrapassar o limite superior da margem de toler\u00e2ncia para a meta em 2022, de at\u00e9 5%, passou de cerca de 17% na previs\u00e3o feita em setembro para 41% na estimativa atual.<\/p>\n
“A infla\u00e7\u00e3o ao consumidor continua persistente e elevada. A alta dos pre\u00e7os surpreendeu mais uma vez no trimestre encerrado em novembro. () H\u00e1 preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o com a magnitude e a persist\u00eancia dos choques, com seus poss\u00edveis efeitos secund\u00e1rios e com a eleva\u00e7\u00e3o das expectativas de infla\u00e7\u00e3o, inclusive para al\u00e9m do ano-calend\u00e1rio de 2022”, afirmou.<\/p>\n
Em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria, o BC reiterou mensagem da ata do Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom) sobre a inten\u00e7\u00e3o de subir a Selic novamente em 1,50 ponto na reuni\u00e3o de fevereiro, em continuidade ao ciclo de alta para levar a taxa b\u00e1sica de juros a territ\u00f3rio “significativamente contracionista” para conter a infla\u00e7\u00e3o. A taxa b\u00e1sica de juros est\u00e1 em 9,25% ao ano.<\/p>\n
(Edi\u00e7\u00e3o de Jos\u00e9 de Castro)<\/p>\n
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Por Bernardo Caram BRAS\u00cdLIA (Reuters) – O Banco Central piorou sua proje\u00e7\u00e3o de crescimento econ\u00f4mico brasileiro em 2022 para 1,0%, contra 2,1% da estimativa anterior, conforme o Relat\u00f3rio Trimestral de Infla\u00e7\u00e3o (RTI) divulgado nesta quinta-feira. No documento, o BC ajustou a perspectiva de expans\u00e3o para o Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) para uma alta de 4,4% […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-32395","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-noticias"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32395","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32395"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32395\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32395"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32395"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32395"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}