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Defendida pelo ex-presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva no \u00faltimo s\u00e1bado, e j\u00e1 proposta pelo ministro da Economia, Paulo Guedes, a cria\u00e7\u00e3o de uma moeda \u00fanica na Am\u00e9rica Latina \u00e9 vista com ceticismo por especialistas. Ainda que a ado\u00e7\u00e3o de uma pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria unificada em diferentes pa\u00edses possa resultar em uma maior efici\u00eancia, aumentando o potencial de crescimento dos mercado envolvidos, colocar uma medida dessas seria muito dif\u00edcil dadas as discrep\u00e2ncias econ\u00f4micas entre pa\u00edses como Brasil e Argentina.<\/p>\n
Por outro lado, analistas admitem que o sistema financeiro est\u00e1 mudando, criptomoedas ganharam for\u00e7a com as san\u00e7\u00f5es implementadas contra a R\u00fassia ap\u00f3s a invas\u00e3o da Ucr\u00e2nia e os mercados passaram a buscar alternativas para n\u00e3o depender do d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n
Para o economista Jos\u00e9 J\u00falio Senna, do Instituto Brasileiro de Economia (FGV\/Ibre), o primeiro desafio para criar uma moeda \u00fanica, seja no Mercosul, seja na Am\u00e9rica do Sul, seria a determina\u00e7\u00e3o pol\u00edtica. Na zona do euro, o projeto de unifica\u00e7\u00e3o monet\u00e1ria tem suas ra\u00edzes no p\u00f3s-II Guerra Mundial, quando os pa\u00edses europeus buscaram uma reaproxima\u00e7\u00e3o, e ganhou for\u00e7a com a reunifica\u00e7\u00e3o alem\u00e3. “Sem motiva\u00e7\u00e3o pol\u00edtica forte, essa ideia n\u00e3o anda. Onde est\u00e1 a determina\u00e7\u00e3o aqui? Quem vai empurrar isso politicamente?”, questiona.<\/p>\n
DESAFIOS<\/p>\n
Al\u00e9m da determina\u00e7\u00e3o pol\u00edtica, os pa\u00edses enfrentariam o desafio de convergir suas economias: infla\u00e7\u00e3o e d\u00edvida precisam estar em patamares pr\u00f3ximos para a ado\u00e7\u00e3o de uma moeda comum. Isso porque existiria tamb\u00e9m um \u00fanico Banco Central com ferramentas reais para controlar a infla\u00e7\u00e3o. Hoje, enquanto o Brasil registra infla\u00e7\u00e3o de 11,3% nos \u00faltimos 12 meses, na Argentina, \u00e9 de 55,1% “A ideia de uma integra\u00e7\u00e3o econ\u00f4mica mais profunda \u00e9 atraente, o problema \u00e9 que n\u00e3o fizemos ainda o dever de casa. Nem nacionalmente e nem regionalmente”, diz o embaixador Marcos Azambuja, conselheiro em\u00e9rito do Centro Brasileiro de Rela\u00e7\u00f5es Internacionais (Cebri).<\/p>\n
A economista-chefe da Tend\u00eancias Consultoria, Alessandra Ribeiro, destaca que os pa\u00edses t\u00eam arcabou\u00e7os econ\u00f4micos diferentes que dificultam uma converg\u00eancia. A Argentina, por exemplo, n\u00e3o tem um BC independente, explica. “Antes de uma moeda \u00fanica, os pa\u00edses precisam ter fluidez de mercadorias e m\u00e3o de obra. A\u00ed poder\u00edamos come\u00e7ar a discuss\u00e3o de uni\u00e3o monet\u00e1ria.”<\/p>\n
Ex-secret\u00e1rio de com\u00e9rcio exterior e s\u00f3cio da BMJ Consultoria Associados, Welber Barral afirma que o processo de unifica\u00e7\u00e3o de moedas seria complexo, assim como foi na zona do euro. Ele pondera que a ideia “n\u00e3o \u00e9 ruim”, pois permitiria uma certa independ\u00eancia do d\u00f3lar, algo que a China tamb\u00e9m vem tentando e que ganhou relev\u00e2ncia com a guerra na Ucr\u00e2nia. “O mundo das moedas est\u00e1 mudando. O que vai ser n\u00e3o sabemos. Vamos ter de pensar em modelos de moedas escriturais, de criptomoedas, de compensa\u00e7\u00e3o entre Bancos Centrais, antes de pensar que voc\u00ea vai ter conta corrente ou pagamento numa moeda comum.”<\/p>\n
De acordo com o pesquisador da Universidade Harvard Hussein Kalout, as criptomoedas podem ser “o futuro” das transa\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras e de com\u00e9rcio entre os pa\u00edses, mas ser\u00e1 muito dif\u00edcil fugir do padr\u00e3o d\u00f3lar. “Especialmente tendo em considera\u00e7\u00e3o que boa parte das reservas brasileiras est\u00e3o em d\u00f3lar.”<\/p>\n
As informa\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00e3o do jornal O Estado de S. Paulo.<\/p>\n
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Defendida pelo ex-presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva no \u00faltimo s\u00e1bado, e j\u00e1 proposta pelo ministro da Economia, Paulo Guedes, a cria\u00e7\u00e3o de uma moeda \u00fanica na Am\u00e9rica Latina \u00e9 vista com ceticismo por especialistas. Ainda que a ado\u00e7\u00e3o de uma pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria unificada em diferentes pa\u00edses possa resultar em uma maior efici\u00eancia, aumentando o […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34357","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-noticias"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34357","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34357"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34357\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34357"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34357"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amarilfranklin.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34357"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}